The one thing that I realized a long time ago with all of this is that you cannot trust subjective estimates of angles or
distances, especially if there are no firm references to base them on. The night
Titanic went down, only the lights of other
ships were seen. Nothing else. Not the horizon, not hull forms, nothing but lights. But there were a few key observations
that I believe we can rely on. Let me list what I believe are some of them:

1. When this so called mystery vessel seen from the
Californian was stopped, is was on a line of bearing SE true. The
evidence comes from two officers, 3/O Groves and 2/O Stone, at the time that Stone took over the watch about 12:15 AM
Californian time. Both officers said that Californian's head was point ENE by standard compass, and the mystery vessel
was right off their starboard beam. The Apprentice Gibson confirmed that relative position when he came on deck shortly
afterward. The compass bearing to the vessel was SSE magnetic. Magnetic variation was reported as 24 degrees west,
about 2 points. This puts the observed steamer SE true from

2. Both
Californian and Titanic were stopped by that point. Although both ships were slowly swinging around somewhat
Californian much more so than Titanic from the evidence given), this only affects the relative bearings that lights and
rockets were seen, not the distance between.

3. The 8 white
rockets observed from the vessel whose lights "looked queer" later on, were seen to come from over the
vessel or beyond. Gibson was able to see a flash which he assumed came from the deck of that vessel when he saw the
6-th rocket go up through glasses. These days, everyone agrees that these rockets were the socket distress signals being
sent up from
Titanic. That puts Titanic on a line of bearing of SE true (135°) from Californian when both ships were
Californian was therefore on a line-of-bearing 315° true from Titanic.

4. The
Carpathia was coming up on a course of 308° true (N 52° W). This comes from Capt. Rostron and confirmed by
his 2/O James Bisset. At 3:20 AM
Carpathia was firing rockets. This is confirmed by a wireless message received on
Mount Temple. Both Stone and Gibson reported seeing rockets very low on the horizon at that time. (Actually Gibson said
they were rockets, while Stone called them lights.)  Bear in mind that Gibson was only reporting relative bearings of what
he saw. Any headings he gave for his ship came from what Stone had told him. Gibson did not take any compass bearings
but Stone allegedly did.

Carpathia was making only about 15-16 knots at the time she was firing those rockets. Rostron said he stopped his engines
about 4 AM. At 3:20 AM the
Carpathia would be 10 miles away from lifeboat No. 2, the one that 4/O Boxhall was in.
Since Rostron later said that he was 4-5 miles from the ice field when he first saw it after the sun came up, and that the
wreckage from
Titanic (including overturned collapsible B) was seen 2-3 miles from that icefield, I put Carpathia about 2
miles from the wreckage when he picked up Boxhall's boat, or about 12 miles to the SE of the wreckage at 3:20 AM.

5. The wreckage, the ice field, and everything else afloat at that time in that area, was drifting with the local current. The
best estimate for the drift comes from the
Californian which placed the wreckage at 11:20 AM at 41° 33' N, 50° 01' W.
This was based off of her noontime sun sight location taken soon after leaving the scene of the wreckage, and can be
confirmed from the location reported by the
Frankfurt when she spotted Californian coming out of the pack ice at local
apparent noon. We also know the precise location
Titanic foundered and the time interval in between. The average current
set and drift calculates to 197° true at 1.1 knots. (see my article
Collision Point for details).

Shown below is a chart of the area I derived for 3:20 AM
Californian time.
Californian and Carpathia at 3:20 AM
Shown on the chart are:
1. The location of the
Titanic wreck site,
2. The location of the wreckage at 11:20 AM Apr 15,
3. The Boxhall CQD position,
4. The
Californian position reported to the Antillian for 6.30 PM Apr 14,
5. The Dead Reconning (DR) track line of
Californian from her noontime location of Apr 14 to make 42° N, 51° W that
Capt. Lord mentioned in his 1959 affidavit,
6. The DR location for
Californian on that track line for 10:21 PM Apr 14 when she stopped,
7. The two sun lines taken at 5:00 PM and 5:30 PM on that track line that Capt. Lord wrote about in his 1959 affidavit,
8. The reported stopping point for
Californian given by Capt. Lord at the 1912 inquiries,
9. The approximate location of
Carpathia at 3:20 AM Apr 15 and her approach course line of N 52° W true,
10. An Estimated Position (EP) for
Californian at 3:20 AM, at the time Titanic's lights went out (2:05 AM Californian
time seen by Gibson on her wheelhouse clock), and an EP for
Californian for when she stopped at 10:21 PM Apr 14, and
11. The approximate location and lay of the nearby ice field at 3:20 AM Apr 15.

The general lay of the ice field was draw from descriptions given by Captains Lord, Moore, and Rostron. It was described
as running from NW to SE on the eastern side by Rostron, and from NNW to SSE true on the western side by Lord and
Moore. Up where
Californian was stopped it was described as being about 2-3 miles in width, while down near where
Carpathia was it was estimated at 5-6 miles in width. Californian stopped close to the eastern edge of the field; while
Titanic wreckage was seen 2-3 miles off the eastern edge of the field from the Carpathia.

Californian came under the influence of the Labrador current some time between noon and 4 PM on the 14th based
on logbook data supplied to the Senate investigation by Capt. Lord.  This would have set
Californian south of the DR track
line she was on that is shown on the chart. I show that by time she stopped at 10:21 PM, she would have drifted about 5
miles south of the line. As I said elsewhere, I don't believe a Pole star sight was ever taken at 7:30 PM as later claimed, and
if it was, I doubt it showed the ship remained on the same exact latitude as she was at noon. Her course according to
evidence given by Capt, Lord was S 89° W (269°) true (BI 6710).

Given the observation that both ships,
Californian and Titanic, had to be on a line NW-SE true when both were stopped,
and given the now known location of the
Titanic wreck site, restricts the possible location of Californian at the time
Titanic's lights went out (2:05 Californian time, 2:17 Titanic time) to a 315° line-of-bearing taken from the wreck site
location, give or take a few degrees.